Grotesque-Discretion
0x4705949665ee75a432daf082156e49865ebdfd08
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$379.40
Total PnL
$-7.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
78 shares @ 55.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$77.70
$34.83
- NO
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-05-18?
143 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$69.49
$-2.15
- NO
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-17?
59 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$59.30
$24.32
- YES
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
80 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$53.89
$-0.40
- YES
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$41.20
$1.20
- SABRES
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
78 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$40.21
$-0.39
- NO
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
67 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$37.61
$-3.00
- YES
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
146 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-39.29
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?
45 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-21.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?$54.81May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IFK Goteborg win on 2026-05-18?$72.71May 18, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?$101.97May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens $41.18May 17, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Konyaspor win on 2026-05-17?$72.59May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?$40.60May 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-17?$35.42May 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$41.24May 17, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Diego FC (-1.5)$77.69May 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?$0.00May 17, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego FC (-1.5)$55.64May 16, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Union vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?$41.98May 16, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?$93.29May 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Konyaspor win on 2026-05-17?$54.85May 15, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-13?$0.00May 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?$73.03May 14, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$76.92May 14, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMSS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score$0.00May 14, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score$43.35May 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?$40.58May 13, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $49.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".