Torn-Source
0x470e9f2cab6bc3e84074dd29934a50cacc71a01f
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$430.94
Total PnL
$-7.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
118 shares @ 88.3¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.63
$-0.37
- NO
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
53 shares @ 95.1¢·now 93.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.11
$-0.89
- NO
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.35
$-1.65
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$40.11
$0.11
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.33
$0.33
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
31 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.53
$-0.47
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.66
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$10.34May 18, 04:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.04May 17, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.08May 17, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$5.62May 17, 10:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?$50.18May 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$30.00May 16, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?$20.07May 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?$50.10May 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$30.00May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 16, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$30.06May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$100.44May 16, 15:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?$3.51May 15, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump Leave China on May 15?$3.08May 15, 12:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$9.00May 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$20.00May 13, 16:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $19.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".