Careless-Round
0x47127cb8d8b55a7c1e7eddd6d38dc32e663b29dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$12.0K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$-5.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
24000 shares @ 36.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.1K
$-2.6K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
10217 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.4K
$-363.38
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
22000 shares @ 10.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$-661.91
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
3754 shares @ 20.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$769.54
$-15.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$60.00May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$30.00May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$30.00May 17, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$60.00May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$60.00May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$60.00May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$60.00May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$60.00May 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$60.00May 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$90.00May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$160.00May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$250.00May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$100.00May 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$160.00May 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$260.00May 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$160.00May 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$100.00May 17, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$260.00May 17, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$30.67May 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$30.67May 17, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $128.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".