Hasty-Phenomenon
0x472e8387ee46e754678b63b29815eed55f03b6ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
19885 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$656.19
$4.63
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5882 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$173.53
$73.53
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3810 shares @ 21.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$171.43
$-628.57
- YES
Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
5090 shares @ 5.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$89.08
$-202.91
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
1694 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.75
$-32.25
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
2289 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$48.99
$-46.99
- NO
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
701 shares @ 7.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$44.53
$-5.47
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1831 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.72
$-75.28
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
65 shares @ 13.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
8215 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-89.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 13, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?$51.86May 10, 08:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $113.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".