Tired-Prisoner
0x4734cf8abfa7ad6cf3cd6b6e12130946b4a60979
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$652.65
Total PnL
$-159.81
Realised
$18.26
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?
307 shares @ 91.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$302.97
$20.81
- NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the June meeting?
129 shares @ 88.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$124.52
$10.90
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?
216 shares @ 42.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$111.46
$20.54
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
545 shares @ 16.4¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$74.73
$-14.57
- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?
39 shares @ 51.5¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.20
$-0.78
- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?
33 shares @ 39.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.01
$6.23
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1510 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.76
$-3.77
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
1096 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-59.59
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
823 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.58
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the December meeting?
380 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-104.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$66.67May 15, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$3.90May 15, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?$8.07May 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$150.25May 14, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$115.75May 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.32May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$35.50May 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$74.12May 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$58.97May 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.10May 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$94.00May 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$59.21May 12, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?$12.40May 12, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?$13.17May 11, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?$20.50May 11, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$33.08May 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?$7.52May 4, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?$9.30May 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$84.34May 3, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?$1.5KMay 3, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $29.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".