Muddy-Yin
0x4755a94927aecf87285e1d2e6744e6f61e447ad2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-14.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
31880 shares @ 16.5¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$-2.2K
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
39406 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-299.96
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
29379 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
22413 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
17727 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
2237 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-152.45
- YES
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.64Mar 9, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$85.00Mar 8, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$492.35Mar 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$48.00Mar 8, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$4.4KMar 8, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$95.40Mar 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$35.53Mar 8, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$112.00Mar 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.8KMar 8, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$2.9KMar 8, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$930.00Jul 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.3KJul 13, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$1.2KJul 13, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.5KJul 12, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?$500.00Jul 12, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2025?$200.00Jul 12, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?$50.00Jul 7, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$480.00Jun 30, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$400.00Jun 30, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$400.00Jun 30, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $472.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".