Grim-Bowtie
0x477d1ff1b2a3b61c67803e024b3c0140f81955a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$315.90
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$135.26
Win rate
85%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
721 shares @ 28.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.36
$-108.23
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
145 shares @ 62.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$61.72
$-29.52
- NO
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
96 shares @ 45.3¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.37
$13.08
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
85 shares @ 29.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.25
$-1.97
- NO
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
18 shares @ 80.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.79
$0.64
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
112 shares @ 48.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.07
$-44.31
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
87 shares @ 49.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.83
$-35.36
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.70
$-34.30
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
43 shares @ 78.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.02
$-27.60
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
60 shares @ 7.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.97
$1.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?$8.98May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?$9.67May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?$11.11May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?$14.56May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?$20.00May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?$20.99May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$40.00May 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?$10.00May 7, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMDoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?$28.50May 7, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?$50.00May 7, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?$56.82May 7, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?$80.00May 7, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?$90.11May 7, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMDoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?$136.99May 7, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?$4.82May 6, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?$8.44May 6, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?$12.00May 6, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$13.65May 6, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$9.59May 6, 11:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".