0x47830092e2e8ae9b284a7388872285fc7f2c9860
0x47830092e2e8ae9b284a7388872285fc7f2c9860
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$13.05
Total PnL
$0.09
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 83.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Brian Shortsleeve win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 88.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.11
$0.12
- NO
Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.05
$0.06
- NO
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 18?$1.00May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?$1.04May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 19?$1.01May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 18?$1.01May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 18?$1.01May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 19?$1.01May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 19?$1.01May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 19?$1.01May 18, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 18?$1.01May 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$1.01May 17, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 18?$1.01May 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 18?$1.02May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on May 18?$1.00May 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 18?$1.01May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 18?$1.01May 17, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 17?$1.10May 17, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 17?$1.14May 17, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?$1.14May 17, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".