Carefree-Orchard
0x4796926d8d05369bbdb378b8dfc27d7b51d4e380
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-12.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
3000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$-45.00
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1000 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$981.50
$18.50
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
700 shares @ 90.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$693.02
$61.67
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2229 shares @ 13.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$252.94
$-53.45
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?
250 shares @ 88.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$218.65
$-3.45
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
203 shares @ 71.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$146.91
$2.23
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 15.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$116.55
$9.45
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
46 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$43.64
$-0.69
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
41 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$17.31May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$27.11May 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$196.56May 17, 08:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$26.53May 16, 14:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 9, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$108.28May 8, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$34.85May 7, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$33.80May 7, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$38.13May 7, 07:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 7, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $471.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".