Aggravating-Sleet
0x47bdc15fc71a5dcd16e88aba8193cb9bf9d6e956
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$20.70
Total PnL
$-39.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
180 shares @ 19.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.70
$-13.56
- YES
Will the US strike Iraq next?
208 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
83 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by October 31?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
19 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$0.55Feb 4, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$10.08Feb 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$21.00Feb 4, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$40.50Feb 4, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$39.73Feb 3, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$12.05Jan 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$29.00Jan 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$3.98Jan 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$19.00Jan 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iraq next?$1.00Jan 21, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iraq next?$1.00Jan 20, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$41.24Jan 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$22.55Jan 16, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$0.00Jan 11, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?$0.00Jan 11, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$34.00Jan 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$21.84Jan 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?$10.80Jan 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$14.46Jan 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?$2.60Jan 4, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".