0x482ed8eb72d7082bb163df8980c9a91cac4a5f78
0x482ed8eb72d7082bb163df8980c9a91cac4a5f78
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$22.52
Total PnL
$-76.08
Realised
$-39.70
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?
75 shares @ 20.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$17.63
$2.23
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.50
$0.51
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.20
$-0.10
- NO
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1 shares @ 83.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?
4850 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- NO
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?
1843 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- NO
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?
530 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- NO
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
28 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$2.66May 18, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$5.00May 18, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 16?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?$0.00May 18, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-12?$0.00May 18, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".