Free-Fingernail
0x484b97304906550e92b89a9414f37bfe247f7a7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7856 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.1K
$-1.8K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
2778 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$930.56
$-69.44
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2294 shares @ 21.8¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$569.95
$69.96
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
595 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$523.81
$23.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2082 shares @ 48.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$510.02
$-489.98
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1171 shares @ 42.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$427.41
$-72.59
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
4762 shares @ 21.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$261.90
$-738.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.17May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.0KMay 5, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.0KMay 5, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$243.90May 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$511.46May 5, 18:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$500.00May 3, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $672.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".