Strong-Pliers
0x4852e456e51f1db40c9a9c8aa3cf1a84a3e5bbb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$11.93
Total PnL
$-46.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$9.64
$-0.35
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.01
$-1.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?
57 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
55 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?$10.12May 6, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$1.00Feb 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$2.00Feb 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Dec 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$0.01Dec 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?$0.02Dec 23, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRays vs. Yankees$1.00Jul 29, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$10.00Jul 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$1.00Jul 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?$1.00Jul 22, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?$0.17Jul 22, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$1.00Jul 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?$1.00Jul 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jul 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$2.00Jul 17, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $7.69Jul 16, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Jul 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Jul 14, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$1.00Jul 14, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$1.56Jul 14, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".