Liquid-Swath
0x486b4695657102f66a595701106d2dbab87f3ea7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-969.80
Realised
$-159.52
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- UNDER
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5
871 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$871.00
$113.23
- OVER
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5
835 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$835.00
$217.10
- NO
Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12)
452 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$452.00
$262.16
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1117 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$368.61
$-33.51
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
369 shares @ 66.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$252.76
$9.22
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
378 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$189.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
69 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$69.00
$37.95
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?
74 shares @ 58.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.18
$-37.74
- YES
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.30
$-7.90
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?
1446 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-212.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$432.80Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$227.91Apr 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$230.67Apr 11, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$74.86Apr 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$148.96Apr 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$17.00Apr 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?$6.00Apr 11, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tochigi SC vs. Thespa Gunma end in a draw?$10.02Apr 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.08Apr 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$189.00Apr 10, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$930.52Apr 10, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$80.18Apr 10, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$163.78Apr 10, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?$54.40Apr 10, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?$95.36Apr 10, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?$74.73Apr 10, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$470.25Apr 10, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$96.99Apr 9, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$545.34Apr 9, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$13.80Apr 9, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $192.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 21:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".