United-Pantology
0x486e590d781d75d377cabe9086aa20683ed86e5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$630.23
Total PnL
$-141.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
74 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.78
$4.78
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
61 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.09
$-0.91
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.57
$-0.43
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.45
$-0.55
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 80.2¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.17
$-2.83
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
79 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$30.00
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
42 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.79
$-0.21
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
68 shares @ 37.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.36
$2.36
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.17
$17.17
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.33
$4.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$30.91May 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$10.26May 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$15.00May 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 15, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$30.74May 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$20.31May 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.27May 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$11.33May 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7.35May 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.70May 15, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$0.00May 15, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.00May 15, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 15, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$0.00May 15, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?$0.00May 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$25.00May 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$40.00May 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?$40.00May 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$15.00May 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$30.00May 15, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $19.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".