Outgoing-Label
0x48957d40dba5b16fe0f919e20d0ede85ef9fa76e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.92
Total PnL
$-5.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
35 shares @ 14.2¢·now 8.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.29
$-1.71
- NO
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$5.00May 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 230 to 259 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?$3.04May 18, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$1.01May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.8m & 5m square kilometers?$1.05May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$1.05May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?$1.05May 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?$1.05May 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$15.85May 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$17.43May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$9.66May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$5.46May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$6.29May 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 19?$5.22May 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 18?$5.24May 17, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 18?$10.39May 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$10.34May 17, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $6.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".