Grown-Lyre
0x48de64f9b224609361539d2cc86d30f0d0190c51
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.41
Total PnL
$-958.79
Realised
$-19.42
Win rate
35%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?
25 shares @ 42.8¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$8.62
$-2.08
- NO
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$1.91
$-0.10
- YES
Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
16 shares @ 38.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.88
$-5.28
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- CAMPBELLSVILLE TIGERS
Campbellsville Tigers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. South Carolina
194 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.77May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.05May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.76May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.05May 18, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?$5.00May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$2.33May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?$2.50May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$2.25May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$0.74May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$1.06May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$1.14May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$2.09May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$1.61May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$2.09May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$0.52May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET$1.04May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$3.13May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2.07May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.51May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.05May 18, 04:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".