0x490894abee4ff9cea867a9706f8348189c408a94
0x490894abee4ff9cea867a9706f8348189c408a94
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$84.93
Total PnL
$-55.49
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
10 shares @ 59.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.15
$0.19
- YES
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
120 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.54
$0.58
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13 shares @ 29.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.23
$0.27
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 41.1¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.46
$-0.46
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.89
$0.89
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.87
$0.87
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
29 shares @ 13.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-1.21
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
16 shares @ 12.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.41
$0.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$4.89May 14, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00May 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$2.00May 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.00May 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?$2.03May 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$2.05May 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$3.21May 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$2.90May 12, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?$3.31May 12, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?$2.04May 11, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.65May 11, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.23May 9, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMusk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?$2.07May 9, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired before 2027?$2.00May 9, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$2.05May 9, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$2.05May 9, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRevolut IPO before 2027?$2.07May 9, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$2.05May 9, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$2.07May 9, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?$2.05May 9, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".