Common-Belief
0x492cff513d131af35d6dae8d196cd984b7af26c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$741.63
Total PnL
$-345.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
742 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$732.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.00
$-3.00
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
1180 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-342.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$733.35May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.36May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$183.09May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$2.04May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$3.33May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$1.85May 18, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$25.00May 18, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?$156.53May 18, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons$10.00May 4, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$7.46May 3, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$349.49May 3, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?$51.00May 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$56.95May 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$499.96May 3, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$499.96May 3, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?$50.95Apr 29, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$56.90Apr 29, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$102.10Apr 29, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$499.50Apr 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$499.00Apr 27, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $178.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".