Tepid-Grey
0x493029126348826610d1766a410d290fad6182ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-72.63
Realised
$36.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1203 shares @ 44.4¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$366.83
$-167.20
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
389 shares @ 88.2¢·now 82.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$322.36
$-20.74
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4376 shares @ 7.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$312.48
$-34.10
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
458 shares @ 42.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.67
$77.39
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
152 shares @ 15.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$128.52
$104.34
- YES
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?
311 shares @ 49.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$122.94
$-31.09
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$112.50
$12.50
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 45.4¢·now 68.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$102.97
$34.93
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
154 shares @ 53.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$88.66
$5.86
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
79 shares @ 70.9¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$75.99
$19.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$11.03May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$85.04May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$39.10May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$83.61May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$6.78May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$12.47May 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$90.30May 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$100.38May 17, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$33.39May 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$64.00May 17, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$299.12May 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$37.25May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$17.48May 15, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$13.63May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUnit FDV above $600M one day after launch?$4.93May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.21May 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.11May 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$2.34May 15, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$24.50May 14, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$56.00May 13, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $46.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".