Comfortable-Cardboard
0x49325f17691647da94c9179fa60e0d5204859c3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$458.69
Total PnL
$-687.83
Realised
$-189.76
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
292 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.74
$0.88
- NO
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
102 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.80
$2.40
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
54 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.75
$-1.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
39 shares @ 81.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.11
$-13.43
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
96 shares @ 11.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.79
$-8.54
- YES
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in February 2026?
1488 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill AppLovin acquire TikTok?$17.01Apr 20, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$1.00Mar 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.92Mar 3, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$12.91Feb 28, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$51.34Feb 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$100.00Feb 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$24.92Feb 28, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$40.00Feb 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?$148.47Feb 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in February 2026?$15.00Feb 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?$31.54Feb 11, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?$60.14Feb 9, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France join the Board of Peace?$113.84Feb 4, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Syria next?$112.88Feb 4, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?$5.70Feb 2, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$2.75Jan 27, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$1.47Jan 27, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $52.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".