Basic-Outback
0x493f8828aadcac2ab0b6f8a7d029ee538b153c26
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$148.40
Total PnL
$-244.64
Realised
$-5.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
150 shares @ 93.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$148.40
$8.46
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $390?
298 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.29
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
223 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.58
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?
201 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
199 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 27?
181 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
- ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers (W)
179 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 15?
179 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.13
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 15 – Dec 19?
166 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.46
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 15 – Dec 19?
160 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$6,600 in March?$112.75Mar 27, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Magic$132.20Mar 27, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Magic$104.44Mar 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$24.58Mar 23, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$161.12Mar 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on February 16?$1.69Feb 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $390?$14.29Feb 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $720?$4.41Feb 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?$2.41Feb 12, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWest Virginia Tech Golden Bears vs. Marshall Thundering Herd$23.14Feb 9, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular win 34-36 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?$2.99Feb 7, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)$5.17Feb 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$155.48Jan 30, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "WWE: Unreal: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)$150.56Jan 29, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?$4.42Jan 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers (W)$8.25Jan 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?$139.93Jan 26, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?$154.45Jan 26, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "WWE: Unreal: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)$144.09Jan 23, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 27?$5.24Jan 23, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $43.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".