0x497d6188cfc384ea083f2354d567910b8468944c
0x497d6188cfc384ea083f2354d567910b8468944c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-10.71
Realised
$61.94
Win rate
43%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
107 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$106.79
$6.08
- NO
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
103 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$102.56
$22.56
- NO
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
97 shares @ 20.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$93.61
$74.22
- NO
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
90 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$89.62
$62.73
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$84.61
$34.61
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
79 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$79.30
$12.01
- YES
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$75.91
$66.04
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$75.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
146 shares @ 51.2¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$74.78
$-0.11
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
69 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$68.72
$26.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $17.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".