Upright-Twilight
0x49ae2066d84a70bb4c39a35f1b87cf2e75f3617a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$400.01
Total PnL
$127.17
Realised
$1.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
687 shares @ 17.1¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$195.60
$78.41
- NO
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
286 shares @ 25.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$118.79
$44.79
- YES
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
247 shares @ 10.1¢·now 10.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$24.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14 shares @ 74.8¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.31
$0.91
- YES
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
1595 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$11.17
$0.27
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 13.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.34
$4.34
- YES
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
34 shares @ 29.3¢·now 22.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$7.69
$-2.31
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.38
$1.38
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$1.04May 17, 18:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.23May 11, 01:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$5.14May 8, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$5.09May 8, 11:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$10.28May 6, 23:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?$10.00May 4, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".