Burly-Tan
0x49b1611e376bb528dedd1429f1bdb99b79f70f4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$186.34
Total PnL
$-4.77
Realised
$213.90
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
50 shares @ 40.4¢·now 61.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.60
$10.38
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
40 shares @ 31.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.00
$8.50
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
22 shares @ 62.3¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.21
$3.28
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
388 shares @ 23.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.49
$-75.25
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
36 shares @ 76.1¢·now 39.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.97
$-13.21
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
85 shares @ 25.3¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.71
$-8.70
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
20 shares @ 43.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$12.70
$3.95
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
28 shares @ 56.1¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.47
$-4.99
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.45
$-0.45
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
221 shares @ 34.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.07
$-68.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$0.00May 10, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?$0.00May 10, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$0.00May 10, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$8.00May 7, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$0.11May 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$1.00May 6, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$0.30May 6, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?$0.70May 6, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$3.30May 6, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$4.10May 6, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$1.20May 6, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$1.10May 6, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.80May 4, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 4, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 4, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$0.37May 3, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$3.50May 3, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$0.70May 3, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 2, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$0.09May 1, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".