Criminal-Heater
0x49d1bc8fba008de6914d0b7e927bc9d42af87b96
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
768 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$767.96
$41.00
- YES
Will Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?
565 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$560.84
$1.56
- YES
Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?
175 shares @ 91.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$155.09
$-5.46
- NO
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
132 shares @ 82.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$110.88
$2.64
- YES
Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
100 shares @ 64.4¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$92.03
$27.65
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
99 shares @ 58.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$89.93
$31.37
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
75 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$73.42
$2.17
- YES
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$70.50
$6.46
- YES
Will Marni von Wilpert advance from the CA-48 primary election?
136 shares @ 43.3¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$69.21
$10.50
- YES
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
55 shares @ 66.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$47.47
$11.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$444.33May 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$284.57May 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$53.82May 16, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$107.26May 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?$559.51May 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erik Bottcher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$4.99May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$29.71May 15, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greg Landsman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?$20.00May 15, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Ryan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?$20.00May 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?$40.96May 15, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marni von Wilpert advance from the CA-48 primary election?$60.04May 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brandon Riker advance from the CA-48 primary election?$46.54May 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$50.02Apr 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$18.10Apr 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$30.97Apr 25, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$80.49Apr 25, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$3.1KApr 25, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?$4.82Apr 21, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?$40.93Apr 21, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 special election?$1.2KApr 21, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $136.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 10:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 17:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".