0x49d23c74b05d26f40b905790aa20e6edff6dcd9c
0x49d23c74b05d26f40b905790aa20e6edff6dcd9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$84.81
Total PnL
$-211.17
Realised
$-10.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
297 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.50
$-2.30
- YES
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
808 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$21.42
$-0.98
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.89
$-6.11
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
589 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
538 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-137.50
- YES
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
231 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
80 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$11.95May 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$29.72May 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$50.99May 14, 11:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$2.08May 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.18May 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$6.19May 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$3.48May 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?$10.28May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.83May 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.28May 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.16May 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.15May 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.33May 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$10.32May 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.23May 13, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $8.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".