Inborn-Mitten
0x49e643189c07a40bb356921ddccf819d40eacd39
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$43.50
Total PnL
$-834.44
Realised
$-15.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.57
$13.57
- YES
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
31 shares @ 32.5¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.46
$-3.54
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 5.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.97
$0.97
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?
1017 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.88
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1015 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$5.00May 8, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$69.23Apr 30, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$2.18Feb 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$2.00Feb 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$2.00Feb 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$2.00Feb 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$0.00Feb 2, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$5.00Jan 26, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$0.00Jan 26, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$0.01Jan 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$0.96Jan 15, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$0.46Jan 15, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.01Jan 15, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$0.56Jan 15, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$10.00Jan 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$10.00Jan 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$10.00Jan 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$20.00Jan 9, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".