Optimal-Miss
0x4a2be7a7e6e3b41dc2de00706b4c09660ca9af20
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$70.6K
Total PnL
$-121.2K
Realised
$7.5K
Win rate
63%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
8000 shares @ 67.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.9K
$1.5K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
60000 shares @ 11.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.5K
$-2.6K
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
6000 shares @ 39.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.5K
$1.1K
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
6000 shares @ 54.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$160.84
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
10000 shares @ 25.3¢·now 31.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.1K
$585.73
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
6000 shares @ 42.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.0K
$410.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 48.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.6K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
6000 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$-90.00
- YES
Chirayu Rana sued?
3000 shares @ 66.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$137.92
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3188 shares @ 51.6¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$402.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$211.68May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.45May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$12.69May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$8.50May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$524.67May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$19.32May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$144.81May 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$0.06May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$0.60May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$1.80May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$1.18May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$3.48May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$1.80May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$4.26May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$0.30May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$41.89May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.32May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$2.85May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$0.16May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$11.06May 18, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $23.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".