Light-Explorer
0x4a41ab9ccfa65105118453b65bfe8cb943a1242a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$1.6K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10192 shares @ 28.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$764.43
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
8236 shares @ 18.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.65
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?
6184 shares @ 12.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.33
$-642.53
- YES
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
1494 shares @ 6.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.67
$-84.87
- YES
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
1133 shares @ 12.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.43
$-128.57
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.99
$2.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
320 shares @ 9.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.68
$-26.04
- YES
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
175 shares @ 7.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.23
$-10.53
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
20337 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-485.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$6.03May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$6.03May 18, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$100.00May 14, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$185.19May 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$103.50May 12, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$175.44May 12, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$103.22May 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$103.01May 12, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$103.15May 12, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$7.90May 11, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$2.72May 11, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$14.2KMay 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$3.0KMay 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$1.45May 9, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walmart acquire TikTok?$1.10May 8, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$1.05May 8, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.17May 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$9.52May 7, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$2.57May 6, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$12.00May 6, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $473.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".