Unrealistic-Underneath
0x4a4bdcbfaff5659c11adcf7a9509c62a3b6cde54
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$128.37
Total PnL
$-147.67
Realised
$74.82
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
35 shares @ 24.7¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.55
$9.90
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
13 shares @ 38.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$12.70
$7.81
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
20 shares @ 33.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.39
$5.64
- NO
Will Solana reach $140 in April?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.00
$0.20
- NO
Will Solana reach $160 in April?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.00
$0.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 16.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.25
$1.15
- YES
Will Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 31.7¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.90
$2.55
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.85
$-0.05
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
75 shares @ 7.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.63
$3.02
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
25 shares @ 18.8¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.75
$3.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by April 30, 2026?$1.06Apr 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.50Apr 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.30Apr 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$3.00Apr 24, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.66Apr 23, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?$5.00Apr 22, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?$0.78Apr 20, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?$0.78Apr 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aster reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?$3.20Apr 20, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.50Apr 19, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?$1.95Apr 19, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$2.21Apr 19, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$1.00Apr 18, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?$0.51Apr 18, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 21?$0.85Apr 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 22?$0.54Apr 18, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$1.85Apr 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?$9.64Apr 18, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$5.00Apr 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?$1.20Apr 17, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".