Taut-Spawn
0x4a57cab629a0e220ad89e603b2306d78237b03f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$30.92
Total PnL
$-17.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.22
$3.22
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.26
$2.26
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.17
$1.17
- NO
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?
2 shares @ 59.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Democrat" 3+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00May 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?$2.00May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Virus" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.03May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.02May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$10.01May 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.03May 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$2.03May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.04May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1.05May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$1.05May 17, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.00May 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$2.10May 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$1.00May 16, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$1.00May 16, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$1.02May 16, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$1.02May 16, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 16, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1.03May 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$5.11May 16, 23:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".