0x4a650133a506a876352f8e8021ec3d220dab06bb
0x4a650133a506a876352f8e8021ec3d220dab06bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.4K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$737.18
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
270079 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$135.04
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
227623 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.7K
$113.81
- YES
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
218425 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$109.21
- YES
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
116370 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$58.19
- YES
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
125318 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2K
$62.66
- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
93945 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$892.48
$-87.37
- YES
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
103248 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$774.36
$51.62
- YES
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
107930 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$701.55
$53.97
- YES
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
89421 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$581.24
$44.71
- YES
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
91602 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$503.81
$45.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.33May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.95May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.19May 18, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.31May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?$7.16May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.02May 18, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.05May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.67May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.73May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.18May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.40May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.91May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.05May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.31May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.11May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".