Green-Leprosy
0x4a74423861266dd7d353ca28827f83bc4dcfd69e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$16.3K
Total PnL
$-752.37
Realised
$180.98
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3660 shares @ 83.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.9K
$-181.29
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
2700 shares @ 87.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.6K
$240.96
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
1589 shares @ 62.1¢·now 82.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$321.07
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
1000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$978.00
$48.00
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1000 shares @ 95.2¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$949.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1400 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$906.50
$-2.92
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
752 shares @ 87.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$695.94
$34.84
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$685.00
$-15.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
848 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$665.61
$29.68
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.19May 18, 10:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.52May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$7.49May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$9.00May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$9.76May 17, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$396.23May 17, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$36.50May 17, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.83May 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$91.59May 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.39May 17, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$28.00May 17, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.68May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$70.00May 17, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.83May 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.68May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.00May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$20.17May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$367.00May 17, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$152.00May 17, 15:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $230.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".