0x4a9bc229da99a0a54c105e012ec607c29e47f0e6
0x4a9bc229da99a0a54c105e012ec607c29e47f0e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$13.26
Total PnL
$-36.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.00
$1.80
- YES
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.90
$1.70
- YES
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.70
$1.50
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.10
$-0.38
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.00
$-0.79
- YES
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.50
$-0.98
- YES
Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
97 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.44
$-0.52
- YES
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.30
$-0.84
- YES
Will Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.30
$-0.83
- YES
Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.30
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Maxim Shabanov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.40Mar 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxim Shabanov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.09Mar 13, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxim Shabanov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.07Mar 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxim Shabanov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.05Mar 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.03Mar 13, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Mar 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.19Mar 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.18Mar 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Mar 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.48Mar 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Fiala win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?$0.16Mar 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brayden Point win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?$0.16Mar 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Fiala win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?$0.14Mar 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daria Kasatkina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?$0.36Mar 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1.48Mar 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.36Mar 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.20Mar 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.14Mar 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CaSándra Claiborne be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?$1.84Mar 13, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$1.32Mar 13, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".