Sturdy-Jodhpurs
0x4aa4c7b1890c8804ad891e8b1e8dd499f19181ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$632.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?
426 shares @ 47.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$272.34
$72.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 28.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$83.27
$33.27
- YES
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
979 shares @ 14.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$73.42
$-71.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
567 shares @ 8.8¢·now 10.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$59.00
$9.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$56.58
$6.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?
1039 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$46.24
$-3.76
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
434 shares @ 17.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.87
$-51.13
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?
353 shares @ 21.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.28
$-57.72
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
11904 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-269.98
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
9924 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-345.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$52.83May 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$53.33May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?$207.42May 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$53.19May 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?$52.90May 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$6.57May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$43.94May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$73.53May 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$160.47May 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?$112.72May 6, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$172.41May 6, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?$105.07May 4, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?$103.10May 4, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?$103.02May 4, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$104.69May 4, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$150.00Apr 23, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$150.00Apr 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in April?$150.00Apr 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$953.50Apr 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?$50.00Mar 4, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $90.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".