Indolent-Dogwood
0x4ab70deadfff04bab988fd72c9490568f8015b3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.1K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$469.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
2491 shares @ 75.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.4K
$489.85
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
1880 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$28.20
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1180 shares @ 86.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$60.20
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
1150 shares @ 80.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$925.75
$1.75
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
810 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$803.52
$106.92
- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
730 shares @ 95.5¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$690.95
$-6.02
- NO
Spain snap election called in 2026?
840 shares @ 80.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$651.00
$-25.81
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$585.00
$315.00
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
280 shares @ 87.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$273.70
$28.25
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1550 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-175.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called in 2026?$255.66May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$399.68May 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$288.93May 17, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.0KMay 17, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$9.62May 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$246.66May 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called in 2026?$169.73May 12, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$8.81May 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$264.19May 10, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$324.00May 10, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called in 2026?$256.68May 10, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$600.00May 10, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$408.00May 10, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$1.5KMay 10, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$179.81Apr 29, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$331.83Apr 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$275.91Apr 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$792.00Apr 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.10Apr 28, 16:01 UTC
- REWARD$4.09Apr 25, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $437.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".