0x4ad6f0f4e0799bf87b7fec2595b7cd6be5cebf78
0x4ad6f0f4e0799bf87b7fec2595b7cd6be5cebf78
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-789.89
Realised
$-6.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
65183 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.7K
$-455.43
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10278 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$149.02
$-132.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
175 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.89
$-9.71
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.38
$-7.63
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 9.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
13875 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.75
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
6283 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
1273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1240 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.60Apr 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.07Apr 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$16.00Apr 17, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.00Apr 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$68.75Apr 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.00Apr 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Apr 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.16Apr 14, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Apr 14, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Apr 14, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.15Apr 14, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.00Apr 14, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.52Apr 13, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.00Apr 13, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$50.00Apr 12, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Apr 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.00Apr 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.00Apr 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Apr 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Apr 12, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $33.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".