Leading-Ornament
0x4adb6442a7e8245d025f09b79151464c5a4c02fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
7518 shares @ 89.1¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.9K
$185.62
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
1916 shares @ 83.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
1250 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
1250 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
1250 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$6.6KApr 18, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$6.6KApr 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$140.68Apr 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$420.00Feb 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$1.0KFeb 26, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.5KFeb 26, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$594.41Feb 26, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$1.1KFeb 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$1.1KFeb 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.1KFeb 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$3.0KNov 21, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.4KNov 21, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.0KNov 21, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$604.18Nov 21, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.0KNov 21, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?$2.1KNov 21, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$2.0KNov 10, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$500.00Nov 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$100.00Nov 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?$4.3KNov 9, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".