Biodegradable-Incandescence
0x4aece53723a986b46d333112abd46597617e7d5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$192.17
Total PnL
$0.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
195 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$192.17
$2.44
- UCLA
UCLA vs. Indiana
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$189.94May 11, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$240.53Apr 23, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$242.31Apr 8, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$242.31Apr 8, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$247.44Apr 1, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$247.44Mar 31, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$245.21Mar 22, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$245.21Mar 19, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$9.84Mar 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$233.52Mar 13, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$243.36Mar 10, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$23.21Mar 4, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$223.91Mar 4, 12:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 2, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$247.01Mar 1, 09:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 1, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Feb 28, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Feb 27, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Feb 26, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$246.26Feb 25, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $477.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".