Sorrowful-Factory
0x4af6d8c40c97b794f051f4ae0a43635bb2218eb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$263.05
Total PnL
$-3.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- KNICKS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
288 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$203.04
$-1.44
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
20 shares @ 98.7¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$18.95
$-0.79
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.98
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.89
$0.02
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
539 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.81
$-0.81
- YES
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.20
$-0.90
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
9 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.03
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$206.26May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$98.55May 18, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$0.00May 18, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$0.00May 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$114.88May 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$19.30May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$50.49May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$88.56May 16, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?$11.96May 16, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$10.95May 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$45.67May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$29.76May 16, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$20.69May 16, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 16?$12.12May 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.87May 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$19.10May 15, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 16?$12.10May 15, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$10.00May 11, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Canadiens$19.69May 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$9.80Apr 24, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $22.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 02:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".