0x4afdc0568e0dceecaebc1968eb38387781b412ff
0x4afdc0568e0dceecaebc1968eb38387781b412ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$313.57
Total PnL
$33.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
194 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$120.43
$-1.94
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
58 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$57.84
$32.97
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?
58 shares @ 34.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.02
$10.12
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
28 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.90
$0.98
- NO
Will Trump say "Golden Dome" in May?
32 shares @ 47.3¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.83
$-0.09
- YES
Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
23 shares @ 43.8¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$14.77
$4.82
- NO
Will Trump say "Iwo Jima" in May?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.24
$-1.69
- NO
Will Trump say "America Last" in May?
27 shares @ 54.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.13
$-3.79
- NO
Will Trump say "Epstein" in May?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.20
$-0.75
- YES
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
44 shares @ 22.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$7.20
$-2.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$11.11May 17, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.13May 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" in May?$10.11May 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.36May 16, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.00May 16, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.46May 15, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 12:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 10:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".