Motionless-Availability
0x4b103fdcaec8e25acbf18860cd5718767871e48f
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$649.29
Total PnL
$24.03
Realised
$-7.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
230 shares @ 82.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.25
$10.95
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
110 shares @ 87.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$103.93
$8.05
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.50
$35.50
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
96 shares @ 77.2¢·now 72.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$68.99
$-5.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
50 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.02
$1.13
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
20 shares @ 86.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.70
$1.40
- NO
Megaquake by June 30?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.70
$5.50
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.40
$1.60
- YES
Will SZA release a new song in 2026?
20 shares @ 95.5¢·now 60.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.11
$-6.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.07May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.25May 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.56May 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.35May 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$16.00Apr 17, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$20.00Apr 10, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$6.66Mar 27, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?$0.00Mar 24, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?$0.00Mar 24, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$0.00Mar 24, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?$8.00Mar 19, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?$1.17Mar 19, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?$3.20Mar 19, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?$0.00Mar 18, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$19.00Mar 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$0.02Mar 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$0.08Mar 14, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$10.00Mar 14, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$10.37Mar 14, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".