Joyous-Consequence
0x4b4806c46359b67fe6afce2c9be664184f5335d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$747.04
Total PnL
$59.68
Realised
$6.34
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
120 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$113.40
$17.40
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
80 shares @ 70.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$67.52
$11.57
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
70 shares @ 72.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.15
$8.25
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
60 shares @ 82.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.30
$5.00
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
60 shares @ 84.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.50
$1.90
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
56 shares @ 86.1¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.65
$1.10
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
90 shares @ 44.4¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.35
$6.35
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 82.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.50
$4.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 86.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$44.75
$1.35
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
49 shares @ 66.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.63
$10.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$1.26May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$6.60May 17, 18:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$11.87May 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.72May 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.76May 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.44May 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.17May 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina$1.02May 16, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$33.00May 16, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.16May 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.27May 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$44.80May 14, 15:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 12, 05:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $14.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".