Abandoned-Clasp
0x4b4bdc29a9ad4caedae5f1139ff8373dede0cbf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$19.7K
Total PnL
$2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
54848 shares @ 26.8¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.7K
$2.0K
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$550.00
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
10000 shares @ 10.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$850.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6652 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$349.22
$-9.98
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$171.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$85.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$82.50
$-52.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.17May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.0KMay 8, 16:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$207.55May 7, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.0KMay 7, 20:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$56.90May 2, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $252.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".