Liquid-Familiar
0x4b4de456d229f9b73014a33bc6c824062b56dd64
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$440.05
Total PnL
$-610.75
Realised
$4.14
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
50 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$27.96
$-0.25
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
42 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.69
$0.63
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
27 shares @ 40.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.86
$4.25
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
19 shares @ 75.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.52
$0.30
- XTREME GAMING
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B
26 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.42
$0.12
- ILLWILL
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
26 shares @ 54.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.42
$0.13
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
47 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.40
$0.24
- UNDER
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
28 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.28
$0.14
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
21 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.18
$-0.10
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 28.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.03
$1.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner$0.69May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner$13.20May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$14.34May 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$8.97May 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$14.16May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?$1.58May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$3.50May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$1.57May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 18?$6.09May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$0.55May 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$2.97May 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Secret vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$5.15May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner$14.42May 18, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner$9.57May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B$14.49May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$14.49May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Los Angeles Angels$5.11May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Los Angeles Angels$5.11May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$3.13May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$5.13May 18, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".