Paltry-Fortress
0x4b5ca6cabd1252c97ebc9da92544054a96ac4568
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-166.33
Realised
$-1.26
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
800 shares @ 86.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$764.00
$70.00
- NO
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
100 shares @ 93.3¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$97.30
$3.96
- NO
US bank failure by May 31?
94 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$90.85
$7.74
- NO
Will Team Liquid win LCS 2026 Spring?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$19.43
$2.43
- NO
Will Sentinels win LCS 2026 Spring?
20 shares @ 94.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$18.57
$-0.33
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
18 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$17.16
$0.55
- NO
Will NRG win NACL 2026 Spring?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$15.01
$-3.59
- YES
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$2.00
$1.95
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.20
$0.80
- YES
Will Shopify Rebellion win LCS 2026 Spring?
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.40
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$16.61May 18, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$0.40May 18, 12:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.45May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.82May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.28May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.61May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.15May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$0.03May 18, 07:20 UTC
- REWARD$3.00May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by May 31?$1.61May 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$35.82May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$36.00May 17, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 125 and 149 points?$50.00May 17, 03:15 UTC
- REWARD$11.94May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 125 and 149 points?$0.05May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 125 and 149 points?$34.01May 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola emergency by June 30?$27.60May 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola emergency by June 30?$27.90May 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by May 31?$3.00May 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 125 and 149 points?$13.09May 16, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $19.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".