Weekly-Blog
0x4b63da2e0ac7f5ea2e4f9cb8d0f7bdf2a4fd4d96
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$92.71
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
3852 shares @ 38.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$-327.38
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
45 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.72
$1.82
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
589 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-341.90
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
500 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
475 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-194.75
- THUNDERTALK GAMING
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
413 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-81.80
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- FNATIC
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
289 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-208.07
- NUGGETS
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
270 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-162.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?$89.67May 17, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?$268.13May 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.13May 13, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.72May 13, 02:54 UTC
- REWARD$26.15May 4, 00:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.64May 1, 00:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.01Apr 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrail Blazers vs. Spurs$549.45Apr 29, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Spurs$445.50Apr 29, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Celtics$411.80Apr 29, 00:59 UTC
- REWARD$26.15Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$464.00Apr 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$474.21Apr 28, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$366.66Apr 28, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$56.18Apr 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$12.72Apr 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$68.90Apr 28, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.1KApr 24, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?$22.80Apr 24, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?$760.00Apr 24, 17:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $134.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".