Misguided-Click
0x4b819f6815bc79614c9be389b94955f76ec6f9b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$948.90
Total PnL
$232.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
145 shares @ 3.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$142.22
$137.22
- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 11, 2026?
117 shares @ 6.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$116.20
$108.20
- NO
Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
115 shares @ 6.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$113.77
$105.82
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 75.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.16
$111.16
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.9¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.17
$80.31
- NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
108 shares @ 7.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$71.57
$63.85
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
267 shares @ 3.7¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.14
$24.14
- NO
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?
102 shares @ 6.5¢·now 24.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.73
$18.14
- NO
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
170 shares @ 5.3¢·now 10.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.67
$9.64
- NO
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?
267 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.07
$5.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?$0.89May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$0.09May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?$1.00May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?$0.67May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXMAQUINA FDV above $20M one day after launch?$1.00May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.50May 17, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?$0.11May 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?$0.81May 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?$0.19May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?$0.12May 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCitrea FDV above $20M one day after launch?$0.26May 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry$1.00May 17, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$1.00May 17, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$0.49May 17, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?$1.00May 17, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".