Cool-Pattypan
0x4b8ae011176b76888949476d7fb7a56985faf4a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-52.2K
Realised
$598.21
Win rate
54%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 90.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$905.50
$1.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$760.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$715.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
700 shares @ 73.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$479.50
$-34.50
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
400 shares @ 72.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$378.00
$90.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$377.52
$7.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1002 shares @ 41.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$365.83
$-45.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$334.99
$5.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 69.4¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$307.50
$-39.50
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
897 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$282.52
$13.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.13May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.28May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.25May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.05May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.17May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.17May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.74May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.06May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.41May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$720.00May 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.79May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$47.46May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$61.82May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$36.11May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.24May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$40.95May 18, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.58May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.63May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$58.80May 18, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $72.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".